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The Cost of Carelessness: How Bulgaria’s Caretaker Government Mismanages Economic Policy and Budget

A Legacy of Incompetence and Corruption

Bulgaria’s caretaker government is forging an unenviable legacy defined by mismanagement and corruption. By squandering 85 million leva to placate Delyan Peevski—diverting these funds into municipalities under his influence without adhering to established norms or transparency—it has set a troubling precedent. Now, ordinary citizens are expected to shoulder additional tax burdens, with the mining sector singled out as the primary target.

An Ill-Conceived Taxation Policy

The decision to levy taxes on revenues rather than profits in the mining industry epitomizes managerial and intellectual failure. The 15% surtax on concession payments has provoked widespread criticism, particularly given its timing and economic implications. Following a wave of deindustrialization marketed as part of the “green transition”—intended to reduce energy consumption by scaling down industrial production—Bulgaria’s economy has been left precariously reliant on a handful of sectors. Among these, the mining industry remains one of the few stable pillars, underpinning economic resilience. While digitization and virtualization offer innovation, they cannot substitute for the foundational strength of a robust industrial base. Indeed, industries like IT ultimately depend on resources provided by mining, highlighting its irreplaceable importance.

Global Context: Europe’s Green Transition and Geopolitical Risks

European Union policies have exacerbated these challenges by exporting polluting industries to China in an effort to demonstrate environmental progress. However, China—a key player in global mining and manufacturing, especially in rare earth metals and drone production—has started implementing counter-sanctions in response to EU and U.S. trade policies. This evolving dynamic underscores the importance of securing raw materials and energy independence. Trends such as reshoring (bringing production back home) and inshoring (relocating production closer to key markets) highlight the strategic importance of maintaining a strong mining sector. Against this backdrop, Bulgaria’s punitive tax policies on mining appear not only shortsighted but potentially catastrophic.

The Strategic Blunder of Over-Taxation

The “Stalinist sequestration” of mining revenues is a glaring example of strategic mismanagement. Bulgaria boasts untapped reserves of valuable resources, including offshore oil and gas, which could bolster its economic resilience. Yet, while other sectors, such as banking, generate substantial profits from fees and interest spreads without contributing significant tangible value, the mining industry continues to create real economic growth. The contrast between these sectors underscores the flawed logic of overtaxing one of the country’s most productive industries. At a time when the mining sector is contending with rising energy costs and adapting to Europe’s critical need for raw materials, the caretaker government has chosen to impose what can only be described as a “nuclear” strike on the industry.

Misplaced Priorities and Bloated Government Budgets

Rather than addressing inefficiencies in government spending or reducing the inflated budgets of public institutions, the administration has opted for an easier, yet ultimately harmful, path: imposing heavier taxes on productive businesses. This approach undermines contributors to Bulgaria’s GDP while leaving bloated and inefficient government expenditures untouched. Furthermore, the lack of political accountability in this caretaker government intensifies the perception of disarray and impunity.

The Shadow of Peevski and Borissov

To assume that these decisions are independent of Delyan Peevski and Boyko Borissov would be naive. Their control over the caretaker government is evident, and their influence looms large, even when it goes unacknowledged. Peevski’s apparent political ambitions have only added to the sense of unease surrounding Bulgaria’s fragile political and economic landscape.

At a time when Bulgaria requires strategic and thoughtful governance, the caretaker government’s policies exacerbate vulnerabilities, erode economic stability, and entrench systemic corruption. Without immediate course correction, the long-term implications for Bulgaria’s economy and governance could be severe.

Ilian Vassilev

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